The Rural Decider

METROPOLITAN Melbourne can win you seats, but regional Victoria will win you government.

Source Herald Sun

That is the fact John Brumby and Ted Baillieu face as they head into the final days of the state election campaign.

Regional Victoria looks set to take on the role of kingmaker on Saturday.

While there is a swag of seats on offer in metropolitan Melbourne, it is the regional seats that must either stay with Labor or head to the Coalition for a change of government to occur.
Regional seats such as Ballarat East and West, Bendigo East and West, South Barwon, Macedon, Ripon and Seymour will prove crucial to deciding the result.

 If there is a swing against the Government of 5 per cent, then seven metropolitan Melbourne seats, plus Gembrook, South Barwon and Ripon would fall into into Coalition hands.

Labor would then be left with at least 45 of the 88 seats in the Lower House. That assumes the Greens don't win a Lower House seat.

The Coalition would then need to win three more seats held by margins of 5-10 per cent to win government.

These seats are in regional Victoria.