Mayne 1% Mirage Miracle in the fading light of the Northern Star

In what appears to be a Family First Miracle of the North, Stephen Mayne, serial board candidate and city Councillor, based on 100% ticket vote allocation looks like winning a seat on the Red velvet from a low base of 1% of the vote.

Whilst it is possible it is never the less unlikely as more votes come in and the three main parties primary vote increases. There are a number of conjunction contest points in the preference distribution.

Stephen Mayne was well placed, as were also other minor party candidates, in the preference allocations.

Had the DLP secured  5% primary it could have won the seat.  It is still too early to hand over the Parliamentary pager to Mayne but this is one seat worth watching.

The Greens vote outside of Zone 1 in Northern Metro Region had collapsed as voters become increasingly concerned about the remote possibility of the Greens holding the balance of power.

Stephen Mayne ran on a Xenophon style Anti-Pokies platform and this has placed him well in securing votes from the three religious parties and the other independents including the Greens surplus plus and Sex Party primary vote. a convergence of different minds and thinking. Mayne will no doubt be making hay whilst the sun shines but he will soon face a down poor of rain on his parade as more votes are counted.

UPDATE: Latest counting prior to the VEC closing the curtain on the count, showed Stephen Mayne trailing the Greens; Alexandra Kaur Bharthal  by 120 votes.  ABC Analyst Antony Greens's calculator failed to take into account 309 primary votes for  independent Adrian Whitehead whose HTV card preferences the Greens then exhaust.   Mayne is excluded early from the Count and Liberal candidate goes on to win the forth seat by a margin of 6,800 votes giving the Coalition absolute control over both houses.

Greens Preference to deliver control of upper house to Liberal party

The Greens are desperate to en sure that the Liberal Party Direct preferences to them in inner city seats that they plan to cut a preference deal to deliver the Liberal party control of the upper house.

The Greens will  try and hide this fact by issuing a Split Ticket claiming that the spit ticket will be fair and neither favours the Liberal Party or the ALP.  This is a lie. A direct cover up.  A split ticket will ensure that the Liberal Party will win three seats in Southern Metropolitan upper house seat.   Like is a spit ticket would also deliver the Liberal party top three additional upper house seats.

Party Group voting tickets close on Sunday 12:00 noon

The Greens are actively trying to cover up  this disclosure as is evident by William Bowe's and others (including Antony Green) denial .

In Southern Metro the Greens are expected to secure upto 19% of the vote and pick up preferences along the way at the point of exclusion the Greens will be on 0.45 quota, the LNP 0.80 quota and the ALP 0.75 quota. A Greens split ticket would deliver the LNP the final fifth seat.

Update: Senior Liberal members who met today are so concerned about the possibility of a 1999 hung parliament with the Greens holding the balance of power that they are considering handing out their own how to vote card in defiance with their own party's direction.  They are backed by a number of other groups who are opposed to the Greens policies such as legalised drug taking and  gay marriage.