Vic Senate Group Ticket Preference Flow

The table below shows the group preference flow to the last 8 standing candidates/groups/

You need to allocate the percentage each group will achieve and then fold up the count having deducted to quotas from the ALP and LNP the remaining surplus an minor parties votes are then distributed according to the table below.  It is a guide only.

ABC State Seat Historical voting statistics used as a base in analysis

You should be able to create a spreadsheet with each of the 8 groups in a column and then calculate the expected outcomes using the ABC Senate Calculator


Note: 

There are a number of flaws and distortions in the way the AEC count the vote, most notably the calculation of the surplus transfer value and the segmentation of distribution of excluded candidates, remainders and the issue of the droop quota.  These distortions were implemented to facilitate a manual count. They can represent up to 70,000 votes or more. In the case of the Droop quota 14% of votes are ignored in determining the results.

With computer aided counting these distortions can and should be removed

In 2007 the method of segmentation and distribution of exclusions denied the Greens representation in the Senate The Greens remained silent. Ignorance is bliss

  

Group Name	Preference Flow
RISE UP AUSTRALIA PARTY	DLP	FFP	LPNP	DEM	ALP	WKP	ASXP	GRN
SENATOR ONLINE (INTERNET VOTING BILLS/ISSUES)	FFP	ASXP	WKP	DEM	DLP	GRN	ALP	LPNP
LIBERAL/THE NATIONALS	LPNP	FFP	DLP	ASXP	DEM	ALP	WKP	GRN
LIBERAL/THE NATIONALS	LPNP	DLP	FFP	ASXP	DEM	ALP	WKP	GRN
HELP END MARIJUANA PROHIBITION (HEMP) PARTY	DEM	ASXP	WKP	GRN	ALP	FFP	DLP	LPNP
HELP END MARIJUANA PROHIBITION (HEMP) PARTY	DEM	ASXP	WKP	ALP	GRN	FFP	DLP	LPNP
HELP END MARIJUANA PROHIBITION (HEMP) PARTY	DEM	ASXP	WKP	ALP	GRN	FFP	DLP	LPNP
FAMILY FIRST	FFP	DEM	DLP	WKP	LPNP	ALP	GRN	ASXP
COUNTRY ALLIANCE	ASXP	DLP	LPNP	ALP	FFP	DEM	WKP	GRN
SECULAR PARTY OF AUSTRALIA	DEM	ASXP	WKP	GRN	ALP	LPNP	DLP	FFP
NO CARBON TAX CLIMATE SCEPTICS	DLP	FFP	ASXP	WKP	DEM	ALP	LPNP	GRN
BANK REFORM PARTY	FFP	ASXP	DEM	WKP	DLP	ALP	LPNP	GRN
STABLE POPULATION PARTY	DEM	FFP	ASXP	WKP	GRN	ALP	LPNP	DLP
STABLE POPULATION PARTY	DEM	FFP	ASXP	WKP	ALP	LPNP	GRN	DLP
STABLE POPULATION PARTY	DEM	FFP	ASXP	WKP	LPNP	GRN	ALP	DLP
AUSTRALIAN FISHING AND LIFESTYLE PARTY	FFP	ASXP	DLP	DEM	LPNP	ALP	WKP	GRN
SHOOTERS AND FISHERS	FFP	ASXP	DLP	DEM	LPNP	ALP	WKP	GRN
BUILDING AUSTRALIA PARTY	DEM	FFP	WKP	ASXP	DLP	LPNP	ALP	GRN
AUSTRALIAN VOICE PARTY	ASXP	WKP	FFP	DEM	DLP	LPNP	ALP	GRN
AUSTRALIAN INDEPENDENTS	DEM	FFP	DLP	ASXP	WKP	GRN	LPNP	ALP
THE GREENS	GRN	WKP	ASXP	DEM	ALP	FFP	LPNP	DLP
	WKP	GRN	ALP	DEM	ASXP	LPNP	DLP	FFP
STOP CSG	DEM	ASXP	FFP	WKP	GRN	ALP	LPNP	DLP
KATTER'S AUSTRALIAN PARTY	DLP	FFP	WKP	LPNP	ALP	DEM	GRN	ASXP
PALMER UNITED PARTY	FFP	DEM	GRN	LPNP	WKP	ASXP	ALP	DLP
ANIMAL JUSTICE PARTY	DEM	WKP	ASXP	FFP	DLP	GRN	ALP	LPNP
AUSTRALIAN MOTORING ENTHUSIAST PARTY	FFP	ASXP	DEM	WKP	DLP	LPNP	ALP	GRN
AUSTRALIAN MOTORING ENTHUSIAST PARTY	FFP	ASXP	DEM	WKP	DLP	ALP	LPNP	GRN
THE WIKILEAKS PARTY	WKP	ASXP	DEM	GRN	ALP	LPNP	FFP	DLP
AUSTRALIAN DEMOCRATS	DEM	ASXP	FFP	WKP	GRN	ALP	LPNP	DLP
AUSTRALIAN DEMOCRATS	DEM	ASXP	FFP	WKP	GRN	LPNP	ALP	DLP
SEX PARTY	ASXP	WKP	DEM	ALP	GRN	LPNP	DLP	FFP
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY	ALP	GRN	ASXP	DEM	WKP	DLP	FFP	LPNP
DRUG LAW REFORM	DEM	ASXP	WKP	GRN	ALP	LPNP	FFP	DLP
DRUG LAW REFORM	DEM	ASXP	WKP	GRN	LPNP	ALP	FFP	DLP
BULLET TRAIN FOR AUSTRALIA	DEM	ASXP	FFP	DLP	WKP	ALP	GRN	LPNP
AUSTRALIAN CHRISTIANS	FFP	DLP	LPNP	ALP	DEM	WKP	GRN	ASXP
CITIZENS ELECTORAL COUNCIL	FFP	DLP	WKP	DEM	ALP	LPNP	GRN	ASXP
CITIZENS ELECTORAL COUNCIL	FFP	DLP	WKP	LPNP	DEM	ALP	GRN	ASXP
	DLP	WKP	GRN	DEM	ALP	ASXP	LPNP	FFP
SOCIALIST EQUALITY PARTY	LPNP	FFP	GRN	WKP	DEM	ASXP	ALP	DLP
SOCIALIST EQUALITY PARTY	ALP	DLP	LPNP	FFP	GRN	WKP	DEM	ASXP
SOCIALIST EQUALITY PARTY	GRN	WKP	DEM	ASXP	ALP	DLP	LPNP	FFP
PIRATE PARTY	DEM	WKP	GRN	ASXP	DLP	ALP	LPNP	FFP
DLP DEMOCRATIC LABOUR	DLP	FFP	LPNP	ALP	DEM	WKP	ASXP	GRN