Monday, August 26, 2013

NSW Senate Group Ticket Preference Flow

Sex Party has the potential of being elected in NSW based on analysis of the Group ticket preferences

The Liberal party is expected to win three Senate seats and the ALP should hold on to two seats,  The battle for the last seat will be determined on preferences with the Greens falling below quota. The Greens do not favour well on the preference flow with Wikileaks and Sex Party place a head of the Greens if the Greens are unable to secure a quota in their own right and the ALP surplus is low then Sex Party is best placed to win its first Senate seat in NSW

Analyses undertaken using the ABC Senate calculator based on 2010 Figures with adjustments to take into consideration new parties and shift in support from the ALP to the  Liberal Party.  Support for Wikileaks is expected to come primarily from the Greens Primary vote which explains why teh Greens are hell bent on attacking Wikileaks where possible.

See ABC State Seat Historical voting statistics used as a base in analysis

New South Wales

Candidate Party
1 Marise PAYNE Liberal Party
2 Bob CARR Australian Labor Party
3 John WILLIAMS The Nationals
4 Doug CAMERON Australian Labor Party
5 Arthur SINODINOS Liberal Party
6 Graeme DUNNE Australian Sex Party

Group Group Name Preference Flow
 A Liberal Democrats  WKP   DLP   FFP   LPNP   ASP   ALP   GRN
 B No Carbon Tax Climate Sceptics  ASP   DLP   FFP   WKP   ALP   LPNP   GRN
 C Democratic Labour Party (DLP)  DLP   FFP   ASP   ALP   LPNP   WKP   GRN
 D Senator Online (Internet Voting Bills/Issues)  ASP   FFP   WKP   DLP   ALP   LPNP   GRN
 E Voluntary Euthanasia Party  WKP   GRN   DLP   ASP   FFP   ALP   LPNP
 G Help End Marijuana Prohibition (HEMP) Party  WKP   GRN   ALP   ASP   FFP   DLP   LPNP
 G Help End Marijuana Prohibition (HEMP) Party  WKP   ALP   GRN   ASP   FFP   DLP   LPNP
 G Help End Marijuana Prohibition (HEMP) Party  WKP   GRN   ALP   ASP   FFP   DLP   LPNP
 H Carers Alliance  LPNP   WKP   DLP   FFP   ALP   ASP   GRN
 I The Wikileaks Party  WKP   ASP   GRN   ALP   FFP   DLP   LPNP
 J Rise Up Australia Party  DLP   FFP   ASP   LPNP   ALP   WKP   GRN
 K Future Party  WKP   GRN   ALP   LPNP   ASP   DLP   FFP
 L Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)  ASP   DLP   FFP   LPNP   ALP   WKP   GRN
 M Labor  ALP   GRN   ASP   WKP   DLP   FFP   LPNP
 N Katter's Australian Party  DLP   WKP   ASP   FFP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
 O Australian Voice  ASP   FFP   WKP   DLP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
 P Sex Party  WKP   ASP   GRN   ALP   LPNP   FFP   DLP
 Q Australian Fishing and Lifestyle Party  ASP   FFP   DLP   ALP   LPNP   WKP   GRN
 R The Greens  GRN   WKP   ALP   LPNP   DLP   FFP   ASP
 S Palmer United Party  FFP   LPNP   DLP   WKP   GRN   ASP   ALP
 T Building Australia Party  FFP   ASP   WKP   DLP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
 U Uniting Australia Party  ASP   WKP   FFP   DLP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
 V Stop The Greens  WKP   DLP   FFP   LPNP   ASP   ALP   GRN
 W Smokers Rights  WKP   DLP   FFP   LPNP   ASP   ALP   GRN
 X Bullet Train For Australia  WKP   DLP   ASP   FFP   GRN   ALP   LPNP
 Y Liberal  LPNP   ASP   DLP   FFP   ALP   WKP   GRN
 Z Australian Protectionist Party  ASP   DLP   FFP   WKP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
AA Animal Justice Party  FFP   WKP   GRN   ALP   LPNP   DLP   ASP
AB Australia First Party  FFP   ASP   WKP   DLP   ALP   LPNP   GRN
AC Australian Independents  ASP   FFP   WKP   DLP   GRN   LPNP   ALP
AD Drug Law Reform  WKP   GRN   ALP   LPNP   DLP   FFP   ASP
AE Socialist Equality Party  ALP   GRN   LPNP   FFP   ASP   DLP   WKP
AE Socialist Equality Party  GRN   LPNP   FFP   ASP   DLP   WKP   ALP
AE Socialist Equality Party  LPNP   FFP   ASP   DLP   WKP   ALP   GRN
AF Australian Democrats  WKP   GRN   DLP   ALP   LPNP   FFP   ASP
AF Australian Democrats  WKP   GRN   DLP   LPNP   ALP   FFP   ASP
AH Family First Party  FFP   ASP   DLP   WKP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
AI Stable Population Party  FFP   WKP   GRN   ALP   LPNP   DLP   ASP
AI Stable Population Party  FFP   WKP   ALP   GRN   LPNP   DLP   ASP
AI Stable Population Party  FFP   WKP   LPNP   GRN   ALP   DLP   ASP
AJ Shooters and Fishers  ASP   FFP   DLP   ALP   LPNP   WKP   GRN
AL The Australian Republicans  LPNP   WKP   GRN   ALP   FFP   ASP   DLP
AM Socialist Alliance  GRN   WKP   ALP   LPNP   DLP   ASP   FFP
AN Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting)  WKP   FFP   DLP   ASP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
AO Pirate Party  GRN   WKP   DLP   ALP   ASP   LPNP   FFP
AP Secular Party of Australia  WKP   GRN   ALP   LPNP   ASP   DLP   FFP
AQ Australian Motoring Enthusiast Party  ASP   FFP   WKP   DLP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
AR One Nation  DLP   FFP   ASP   WKP   LPNP   ALP   GRN
AR One Nation  DLP   FFP   ASP   WKP   ALP   LPNP   GRN

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