In what appears to be a Family First Miracle of the North, Stephen Mayne, serial board candidate and city Councillor, based on 100% ticket vote allocation looks like winning a seat on the Red velvet from a low base of 1% of the vote.
Whilst it is possible it is never the less unlikely as more votes come in and the three main parties primary vote increases. There are a number of conjunction contest points in the preference distribution.
Stephen Mayne was well placed, as were also other minor party candidates, in the preference allocations.
Had the DLP secured 5% primary it could have won the seat. It is still too early to hand over the Parliamentary pager to Mayne but this is one seat worth watching.
The Greens vote outside of Zone 1 in Northern Metro Region had collapsed as voters become increasingly concerned about the remote possibility of the Greens holding the balance of power.
Stephen Mayne ran on a Xenophon style Anti-Pokies platform and this has placed him well in securing votes from the three religious parties and the other independents including the Greens surplus plus and Sex Party primary vote. a convergence of different minds and thinking. Mayne will no doubt be making hay whilst the sun shines but he will soon face a down poor of rain on his parade as more votes are counted.
UPDATE: Latest counting prior to the VEC closing the curtain on the count, showed Stephen Mayne trailing the Greens; Alexandra Kaur Bharthal by 120 votes. ABC Analyst Antony Greens's calculator failed to take into account 309 primary votes for independent Adrian Whitehead whose HTV card preferences the Greens then exhaust. Mayne is excluded early from the Count and Liberal candidate goes on to win the forth seat by a margin of 6,800 votes giving the Coalition absolute control over both houses.
Legislative Council Results - Northern Metropolitan Region
Elected Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
| 1 | MIKAKOS, Jenny | Australian Labor Party |
| 2 | GUY, Matthew | Liberal Party |
| 3 | BARBER, Greg | Greens |
| 4 | ELASMAR, Nazih | Australian Labor Party |
| 5 | MAYNE, Stephen | Independent |
Detailed Results
- Percentage vote counted: 66.20%
- Quota: 46977 votes
Count 1: Initial allocation
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 122,536 | 43.47% |
| 2.6084 |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 75,576 | 26.81% |
| 1.6087 |
| Australian Greens |
| 0 |
| 51,390 | 18.23% |
| 1.0939 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 9,719 | 3.45% |
| 0.2068 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 7,996 | 2.84% |
| 0.1702 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Group C |
| 0 |
| 2,999 | 1.06% |
| 0.0638 |
| Christian Democratic Party |
| 0 |
| 2,382 | 0.85% |
| 0.0507 |
| Group A |
| 0 |
| 1,455 | 0.52% |
| 0.0309 |
| Country Alliance |
| 0 |
| 1,354 | 0.48% |
| 0.0288 |
Count 2: MIKAKOS, Jenny (Australian Labor Party) elected #1
- 75,559 (26.81%) votes (122,536 ballot papers at 0.6166 transfer value) originally from Australian Labor Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (ELASMAR, Nazih) via preference 2.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 75,576 | 26.81% |
| 1.6087 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| -46,977 |
| 75,559 | 26.81% |
| 1.6084 |
| Australian Greens |
| 0 |
| 51,390 | 18.23% |
| 1.0939 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 9,719 | 3.45% |
| 0.2068 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 7,996 | 2.84% |
| 0.1702 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Group C |
| 0 |
| 2,999 | 1.06% |
| 0.0638 |
| Christian Democratic Party |
| 0 |
| 2,382 | 0.85% |
| 0.0507 |
| Group A |
| 0 |
| 1,455 | 0.52% |
| 0.0309 |
| Country Alliance |
| 0 |
| 1,354 | 0.48% |
| 0.0288 |
Count 3: GUY, Matthew (Liberal Party) elected #2
- 28,599 (10.15%) votes (75,576 ballot papers at 0.3784 transfer value) originally from Liberal Party distributed to Liberal Party (ONDARCHIE, Craig) via preference 2.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 75,559 | 26.81% |
| 1.6084 |
| Australian Greens |
| 0 |
| 51,390 | 18.23% |
| 1.0939 |
| Liberal Party |
| -46,977 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 9,719 | 3.45% |
| 0.2068 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 7,996 | 2.84% |
| 0.1702 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Group C |
| 0 |
| 2,999 | 1.06% |
| 0.0638 |
| Christian Democratic Party |
| 0 |
| 2,382 | 0.85% |
| 0.0507 |
| Group A |
| 0 |
| 1,455 | 0.52% |
| 0.0309 |
| Country Alliance |
| 0 |
| 1,354 | 0.48% |
| 0.0288 |
Count 4: BARBER, Greg (Australian Greens) elected #3
- 4,413 (1.57%) votes (51,390 ballot papers at 0.0859 transfer value) originally from Australian Greens distributed to Australian Greens (BHATHAL, Alexandra Kaur) via preference 2.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 75,559 | 26.81% |
| 1.6084 |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 9,719 | 3.45% |
| 0.2068 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 7,996 | 2.84% |
| 0.1702 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Australian Greens |
| -46,977 |
| 4,413 | 1.57% |
| 0.0939 |
| Group C |
| 0 |
| 2,999 | 1.06% |
| 0.0638 |
| Christian Democratic Party |
| 0 |
| 2,382 | 0.85% |
| 0.0507 |
| Group A |
| 0 |
| 1,455 | 0.52% |
| 0.0309 |
| Country Alliance |
| 0 |
| 1,354 | 0.48% |
| 0.0288 |
Count 5: ELASMAR, Nazih (Australian Labor Party) elected #4
- 28,582 (10.14%) votes (122,536 ballot papers at 0.2333 transfer value) originally from Australian Labor Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (MURPHY, Nathan) via preference 3.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| -46,977 |
| 28,582 | 10.14% |
| 0.6084 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 9,719 | 3.45% |
| 0.2068 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 7,996 | 2.84% |
| 0.1702 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Australian Greens |
| 0 |
| 4,413 | 1.57% |
| 0.0939 |
| Group C |
| 0 |
| 2,999 | 1.06% |
| 0.0638 |
| Christian Democratic Party |
| 0 |
| 2,382 | 0.85% |
| 0.0507 |
| Group A |
| 0 |
| 1,455 | 0.52% |
| 0.0309 |
| Country Alliance |
| 0 |
| 1,354 | 0.48% |
| 0.0288 |
Count 6: ARCHIBALD, Kevin (Country Alliance) excluded
- 1,354 (0.48%) votes originally from Country Alliance distributed to Australian Sex Party (PATTEN, Fiona) via preference 3.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 28,582 | 10.14% |
| 0.6084 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| +1,354 |
| 11,073 | 3.93% |
| 0.2357 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 7,996 | 2.84% |
| 0.1702 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Australian Greens |
| 0 |
| 4,413 | 1.57% |
| 0.0939 |
| Group C |
| 0 |
| 2,999 | 1.06% |
| 0.0638 |
| Christian Democratic Party |
| 0 |
| 2,382 | 0.85% |
| 0.0507 |
| Group A |
| 0 |
| 1,455 | 0.52% |
| 0.0309 |
Count 7: STUART, Joanne (Group A) excluded
- 1,455 (0.52%) votes originally from Group A distributed to Group C (MAYNE, Stephen) via preference 3.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 28,582 | 10.14% |
| 0.6084 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 11,073 | 3.93% |
| 0.2357 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 7,996 | 2.84% |
| 0.1702 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Group C |
| +1,455 |
| 4,454 | 1.58% |
| 0.0948 |
| Australian Greens |
| 0 |
| 4,413 | 1.57% |
| 0.0939 |
| Christian Democratic Party |
| 0 |
| 2,382 | 0.85% |
| 0.0507 |
Count 8: JANSON, Vickie (Christian Democratic Party) excluded
- 2,382 (0.85%) votes originally from Christian Democratic Party distributed to Democratic Labor Party (KAVANAGH, John) via preference 3.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 28,582 | 10.14% |
| 0.6084 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 11,073 | 3.93% |
| 0.2357 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| +2,382 |
| 10,378 | 3.68% |
| 0.2209 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
| Group C |
| 0 |
| 4,454 | 1.58% |
| 0.0948 |
| Australian Greens |
| 0 |
| 4,413 | 1.57% |
| 0.0939 |
Count 9: BHATHAL, Alexandra Kaur (Australian Greens) excluded
- 4,413 (1.57%) votes (51,390 ballot papers at 0.0859 transfer value) originally from Australian Greens distributed to Group C (MAYNE, Stephen) via preference 6.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 28,582 | 10.14% |
| 0.6084 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 11,073 | 3.93% |
| 0.2357 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 10,378 | 3.68% |
| 0.2209 |
| Group C |
| +4,413 |
| 8,867 | 3.15% |
| 0.1887 |
| Family First Party |
| 0 |
| 6,454 | 2.29% |
| 0.1373 |
Count 10: CONLON, Andrew (Family First Party) excluded
- 6,454 (2.29%) votes originally from Family First Party distributed to Group C (MAYNE, Stephen) via preference 4.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 28,599 | 10.15% |
| 0.6087 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 28,582 | 10.14% |
| 0.6084 |
| Group C |
| +6,454 |
| 15,321 | 5.44% |
| 0.3261 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 11,073 | 3.93% |
| 0.2357 |
| Democratic Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 10,378 | 3.68% |
| 0.2209 |
Count 11: KAVANAGH, John (Democratic Labor Party) excluded
- 7,996 (2.84%) votes originally from Democratic Labor Party distributed to Group C (MAYNE, Stephen) via preference 10.
- 2,382 (0.85%) votes originally from Christian Democratic Party distributed to Liberal Party (ONDARCHIE, Craig) via preference 14.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Liberal Party |
| +2,382 |
| 30,981 | 10.99% |
| 0.6594 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| 0 |
| 28,582 | 10.14% |
| 0.6084 |
| Group C |
| +7,996 |
| 23,317 | 8.27% |
| 0.4963 |
| Australian Sex Party |
| 0 |
| 11,073 | 3.93% |
| 0.2357 |
Count 12: PATTEN, Fiona (Australian Sex Party) excluded
- 9,719 (3.45%) votes originally from Australian Sex Party distributed to Group C (MAYNE, Stephen) via preference 5.
- 1,354 (0.48%) votes originally from Country Alliance distributed to Australian Labor Party (MURPHY, Nathan) via preference 12.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Group C |
| +9,719 |
| 33,036 | 11.72% |
| 0.7032 |
| Liberal Party |
| 0 |
| 30,981 | 10.99% |
| 0.6594 |
| Australian Labor Party |
| +1,354 |
| 29,936 | 10.62% |
| 0.6372 |
Count 13: MURPHY, Nathan (Australian Labor Party) excluded
- 1,354 (0.48%) votes originally from Country Alliance distributed to Liberal Party (ONDARCHIE, Craig) via preference 16.
- 28,582 (10.14%) votes (122,536 ballot papers at 0.2333 transfer value) originally from Australian Labor Party distributed to Group C (MAYNE, Stephen) via preference 23.
- MAYNE, Stephen (Group C) provisionally elected.
- Distribution complete, all vacancies filled.
| Party |
| Transfer |
| Total Votes | % Votes |
| Quotas |
| Group C |
| +28,582 |
| 61,618 | 21.86% |
| 1.3116 |
| Liberal Party |
| +1,354 |
| 32,335 | 11.47% |
| 0.6883 |
Count 14: MAYNE, Stephen (Group C) elected #5
- The last vacancy has been filled.
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