VEC Niddrie count concluded. Greens came a distant third

The VEC has concluded its by election count but failed to publish an accurate 2CP result due to mistake in determining who would be the main font runners. The VEC had thought the last two candidates remaining would have been the ALP and the Greens. As was previously reported on election night independent Andria Surace out polled the Greens primary vote. Analysis of the registered HTV cards should have indicated that the Greens were not a serious contender for the seat. The VEC would have also known this fact earlier in the count when primary votes were recorded and using SMS technology or even a mobile phone could have directed staff to notionally distribute a 2CP throw based on real live data.

Link: VEC Results

QLD Local Governent elections next big challenge for Labor

The Queensland Local Government elections, which were put off until after the State Election, will be the next test for Labor. Having just come to terms with the impact and risk to democracy Labor could reasonably hope that it might do better in Local Government. The main contest will be the City of Brisbane following the departure Campbell Newman from town hall to the State house, punters will be eiher be lining up to hedge their bets or take another swipe on April 28

Niddrie:: VEC Polls results still out of wack

The VEC still has not accounted properly for the Niddrie by-election results.


Votes recorded at the end of the recheck (Extracted Tuesday 22:00 - No time date stamp published)
Formal votes 27338 Informal 3560 Total 30898

2CP votes (Time date stamp of Tuesday, 27 March 2012 10:10:24 AM) still showing a split between the ALP (19485) and the Greens (8058) even though the the Greens do not pickup preferences from other minor candidates HTV cards (They came third not second)  Total formal 27534 Some 205 votes more then the polling place results. 

Recheck votes

Total Enrolment as at close of rolls:	36808
Formal Votes:	27338
Informal Votes:	3560 (11.52% of the total votes)
Total Votes:	30898 (83.94% of the total enrolment as at the close of rolls rechecked)

Recheck First preference votes

	SCHOREL-HLAVKA, Gerrit Hendrik	CARROLL, Ben	SURACE, Andrea	LINAKER, David Hugh	LESTER, Josie	DEVERALA, Michael	MYERS, Amy	LITTLE, Jim	PAPAFOTIOU, Frank
Voting centres		ALP			GREENS	DLP	SEX PARTY		CDP	Informal votes	Total votes polled
Airport West	63	903	131	19	165	84	163	68	104	225	1925
Avondale Heights	53	824	203	23	188	63	120	222	105	217	2018
Avondale Heights Central	98	1227	421	23	257	129	245	273	208	468	3349
Avondale Heights North	16	263	77	2	42	21	28	44	36	79	608
Buckley Park	66	756	240	21	235	82	188	121	117	232	2058
Kealba	41	524	68	19	130	56	99	52	78	196	1263
Keilor	27	282	117	10	114	41	110	98	76	124	999
Keilor East	63	803	280	11	147	112	120	65	149	245	1995
Keilor Heights	57	911	285	11	176	53	163	235	84	244	2219
Keilor Park	45	608	116	18	115	67	111	60	71	197	1408
Keilor South	55	803	404	14	179	88	183	126	99	292	2243
Niddrie	33	554	60	16	91	55	117	64	52	148	1190
Niddrie Central	66	891	220	28	246	127	174	142	112	293	2299
Ordinary Votes Total	683	9349	2622	215	2085	978	1821	1570	1291	2960	23574
Postal Votes	110	1530	237	77	229	139	147	154	132	161	2916
Early Votes	130	1819	538	49	487	172	226	169	134	420	4144
Marked As Voted Votes	2	9	1	0	2	1	3	1	4	3	26
Provisional Votes	11	95	22	5	31	12	26	10	10	16	238
Absent Votes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	936	12802	3420	346	2834	1302	2223	1904	1571	3560	30898
Percentage of formal vote polled by candidate	3.42%	46.83%	12.51%	1.27%	10.37%	4.76%	8.13%	6.96%	5.75%

Bound for South Australia

Victoria's "Shadow Puppert Master" Steve Tully, electoral commissioner, has resigned to return back to South Australia from where he came.

Tully was renowned for his monumental stuff up of the 2006 State election and his failure to ensure that public elections in Victoria were open and transparent and subject to proper scrutiny.

Steve Tully's ten year contact was up for renewal in 2015 with many predicting that it would not be renewed. Tully was left with the option of leaving now or face forced retirement in three years time. He choose to leave, taking up an offer to head South Australia's Health Complaints Commission.

The Victorian State Government should this opportunity to review and restructure the Victorian Electoral Commission transferring most of its functions and conduct of Public elections to the Australian Electoral Commission. The Victorian Electoral Commission should maintain a Secretariat that is responsible for policy development and oversight role only. Such a move would save Victoria 100s of millions of dollars in services and infrastructure that are essentially duplicated by the Australian Federal Electoral Commission.

William Bowie Talks up Abbott's approval by publishing conflicting and false facts

PollBludger And Green Tea Leaf reader, William Bowie, has talked up Tony Abboott's approval rating by falsely claiming that Tony Abbott has an approval rating between 32% to 58%. The truth is Abbott's disapproval rating is at 58%

... Tony Abbott’s ratings are unchanged at 32 per cent approval and 58 per cent approval, and there is likewise essentially no change on preferred prime minister (Gillard leads 40-37, up from 39-37)

Update: 10:00

Caught out making false statements William Bowie has altered the above statement which now reads

... Tony Abbott’s ratings are unchanged at 32 per cent approval and 58 per cent disapproval, and there is likewise essentially no change on preferred prime minister (Gillard leads 40-37, up from 39-37)

No mention or apology for the mistake just a coverup (again)

VEC: Niddrie, Over 6,312 votes missing in 2CP count

VEC Published results (A 20:55 Today) shows a discrepancy of 6,312 votes on the false 2CP data.  Votes have either gone missing or been added to the count.  A discrepancy of over 6,000 votes is not minor error and raises ongoing concerns over the quality of the VEC counting and reporting procedures. 

Note the Total votes (20,614) and then add-up the 2CP results  (26,926 ).  Missing from the published results is the section votes (Postal, Absentee, Early and Provisional votes)

The VEC also has the Greens listed in error as  the preferred Candidate against Labor's Ben Carrol when Andrea Surace  has more votes with registered HTV preferences flowing to the ALP and Surace before the Greens.


 Published results as at 20:55

Niddrie District By-election 2012

---

Recheck votes

Total Enrolment as at close of rolls:	36808
Formal Votes:	20614
Informal Votes:	2960 (12.56% of the total votes)
Total Votes:	23574 (64.05% of the total enrolment as at the close of rolls rechecked)

Note: ALP = AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY - VICTORIAN BRANCH, CDP = CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY (FRED NILE GROUP), DLP = DEMOCRATIC LABOR PARTY (DLP) OF AUSTRALIA, Greens = THE AUSTRALIAN GREENS - VICTORIA, Sex Party = AUSTRALIAN SEX PARTY - VICTORIA

Recheck first preference votes

Candidate	Party	1st pref votes	% of 1st pref votes
SCHOREL-HLAVKA, Gerrit Hendrik		683	3.31%
CARROLL, Ben	ALP	9349	45.35%
SURACE, Andrea		2622	12.72%
LINAKER, David Hugh		215	1.04%
LESTER, Josie	Greens	2085	10.11%
DEVERALA, Michael	DLP	978	4.74%
MYERS, Amy	Sex Party	1821	8.83%
LITTLE, Jim		1570	7.62%
PAPAFOTIOU, Frank	CDP	1291	6.26%
Click here for rechecked results by voting centre Top

Two candidate preferred vote

Candidate	Party	Preferred votes	% of preferred votes
CARROLL, Ben	ALP	19042	70.72%
LESTER, Josie	Greens	7884	29.28%
Click here for two candidate preferred results by voting centre

Please note that two candidate preferred counts provide an early indication of election results. Minor variations may be observed with rechecked results and final preference distributions (where required)

Niddrie By-election: VEC calls it wrong (again)

The Victorian Electoral Commission has called the 2CP results of the Niddrie Byelection wrong. It pitted the ALP off against the Greens. When in fact the Greens at best Will come in at third place and would not be facing off against the ALP.

How VEC made this error is anyone's guess. It certainly is not based on any professional assessment or the registered HTV cards submitted by other candidates. All HTV cards that expressed a preference placed the Greens last. The Green leaf fortune teller William Bowie made no mention of this fact in his blog of Green tea leaves. LOL

French madness, money to burn

The French Presidneial election is a clear demonstatition of election madness and futility of French public policy in the pretense of democracy.

The French Governmnet maintain a two-round presidential ballot system

The polls show two main candidates vying for the presidential office. Both candidates have a primary vote of 28percent. In the second round of voting the incumbent president is expected to fall short 48 to 52 percent.

It costs billion of Euros to hold the presidential ballot and the two round system only adds to the cost.

France like that of other nations that maintain the two round voting system should adopt the Australian preferential voting system. One round same result at half the cost and greater political stability.