Friday, December 17, 2010

Northern Victoria: Tully's Dodgy Tally

In another example of just how shoddy Tully's Tally is were compare the information published by the VEC for Northern Victoria.

On the Official VEC published website we extract the following information

Recheck votes


Total Enrolment
as at close of rolls:
429217
Formal Votes:389721
Informal Votes:11177 (2.79% of the total votes)
Total Votes:400898 (93.40% of the total enrolment as at the close of rolls rechecked)
Quota:64946

Recheck first preference votes


GroupAbove
the line
Below
the line
Total votes% of
formal vote
Quota
ACOUNTRY ALLIANCE24537212326660 6.84% 0.41
BCHRISTIAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY (FRED NILE GROUP)21124382550 0.65% 0.04
CFAMILY FIRST1076767211439 2.94% 0.18
DAUSTRALIAN GREENS27891331931210 8.01% 0.48
ELIBERAL / THE NATIONALS1865664335190901 48.98% 2.94
FAUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY1034792311105790 27.15% 1.63
GSEX PARTY1417271014882 3.82% 0.23
HD.L.P. - DEMOCRATIC LABOR PARTY58804096289 1.61% 0.10

The total number of formal votes recorded in the above table shows

ATL BTL TOTAL

375404 14317 389721

When you examine the final details published by the VEC you get a different total? 59 votes difference in the total formal votes recorded. 
Total
ATL
Votes
Total
BTL
Votes
Formal Informal Total
Votes
375,457 14,216 389,673 11,220 400,893

Clearly there is something wrong with the VEC procedures as the tally does not tally. The data certainly looks doctored and begs the question how good is the 13 million dollar sofwtare that the VEC invested in. Looks mickey mouse to us. Oh and the BTL data files does not match up either, which might explain why Steve tully did not want to make this data available. It's rule of thumb when it comes to Tully's Tally. Tully's near enough is good enough approcah is not really good enough.

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