This is a stark contrast with the method used by the Victorian Electoral Commission as outlined in the legislation which at best can only be described as semi-proportional.
In our analysis we used the Wright system which included a weighted value method to calculating the surplus transfer value and on every exclusion the ballot was reset and the count restarted and votes redistributed as if the excluded candidates had not nominated. The quota for election was adjusted to accommodate votes that existed throughout the count. The Weight system uses a single transaction without segmentation and only surplus votes are distributed in a single iteration of the count. The process of iteration continues until all vacant positions are elected. ION analysis of Western Metro the vote progressed until there were only six candidates remaining in the final iteration count.
Similar results were shown using the Meek method of counting.
what this demonstrates yet again the need for the state government to abandon the outdated distorted and accurate system currently in use. Had the number of voters not exhausted their ballot papers or Victoria had retained a full preferential voting system the outcome of the election may have been different.
In 2007 the Queensland Senate election which uses the same flawed system of segmentation as exists in Victoria Greens candidate Larissa Waters missed out in being elected. Had a reiterative counting system been used instead Larissa Waters would have been elected.
The current system was designed to facilitate a manual count and with the use of computer based technology is no longer warranted or justified.
| Wright System Reiterative Count - Value based Surplus Transfer - Single transaction per candidate Final Iteration 422588 Ballot papers minus 1205 ballots which exhausted with-out value expressing no preference for any continuing candidate | |||||||||||||||||
| ID | Candidate | Group | 01-001 Primary | 01-002 Surplus PAKULA, Martin | 01-003 Surplus FINN, Bernie | 01-004 Surplus EIDEH, Khalil | 01-005 Surplus ELSBURY, Andrew | 01-006 Elected HARTLAND, Colleen | |||||||||
| 3 | PAKULA, Martin | ALP | 196632 | 70229 | 70229 | 70229 | 70229 | 70229 | |||||||||
| 4 | EIDEH, Khalil | ALP | 1242 | 126653 | 126653 | 70229 | 70229 | 70229 | |||||||||
| 5 | SMITH, Bob | ALP | 1411 | 1736 | 1761 | 57929 | 69419 | 69419 | |||||||||
| 15 | HARTLAND, Colleen | GREENS | 69582 | 69987 | 70124 | 70181 | 70237 | 70237 | |||||||||
| 20 | FINN, Bernie | LIBERAL | 151299 | 151299 | 70229 | 70229 | 70229 | 70229 | |||||||||
| 21 | ELSBURY, Andrew | LIBERAL | 1217 | 1250 | 82015 | 82015 | 70229 | 70229 | |||||||||
| Sum | 421383 | 421154 | 421011 | 420812 | 420572 | 420572 | |||||||||||
| Quota | 70229 | ||||||||||||||||
| Exhausted | with value | 229 | 372 | 571 | 811 | 811 | |||||||||||
Meek Method
Note: To look at this count sheet properly you will need to copy the text below and past it in a word document and apply a fixed width font such as courier and adjust the margins so there is no word wrapping into the next line. Sorry this is a limitation of the blogger ccs.
Loading ballots from file Western-Metro-2010.blt.
Ballot file contains 24 candidates and 422588 ballots.
No candidates have withdrawn.
Ballot file contains 422588 non-empty ballots.
Counting votes for Western Metro - Victorian State Election 2010 using Meek STV.
24 candidates running for 5 seats.
R|MURRAY, Joël |DAVIS, Merind|PAKULA, Marti|EIDEH, Khalil|SMITH, Bob |REES, Llewell|SPINNER, Clau
| |a |n | | |y |dine
|-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------
|MUMBY, Daniel|GARAY, Lisa |FARRELL, Mark|MAZZARELLA, S|BYRNE, Georga|NOTARO, Samue|KAVANAGH, Mar
| | | |tephanie | |l |guerita
|-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------
|HARTLAND, Col|HUMPHREYS, Ro|INGHAM, Liz |CRAWFORD, Sim|GALE, Owen |FINN, Bernie |ELSBURY, Andr
|leen |bert Allan | |on | | |ew
|-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------+-------------
|FAIRBAIRN, Vi|BARTH, Jeremy|KENNY, Willia|Exhausted |Surplus |Threshold
|ctoria | |m | | |
====================================================================================================
1| 19466.000000| 536.000000|195460.000000| 679.000000| 557.000000| 723.000000| 652.000000
| 15099.000000| 142.000000| 12728.000000| 274.000000| 121.000000| 89.000000| 113.000000
| 49274.000000| 428.000000| 595.000000| 199.000000| 205.000000|123681.000000| 386.000000
| 603.000000| 269.000000| 309.000000| 0.000000|178278.333332| 70431.333334
|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Count of first choices. Candidates PAKULA, Martin and FINN, Bernie have reached the threshold
| and are elected.
====================================================================================================
2| 19539.142196| 551.144791| 70437.675599|125003.778939| 712.934926| 819.404578| 720.940758
| 15210.009257| 177.427470| 12811.293947| 296.151689| 130.176699| 93.489935| 117.293106
| 49391.585615| 447.396208| 605.248904| 204.129598| 206.709866| 70444.859972| 53366.467289
| 678.506449| 292.290849| 329.941320| 0.000040| 54592.314529| 70431.333327
|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Count after transferring surplus votes. Keep factors of candidates who have exceeded the
| threshold: PAKULA, Martin, 0.360337 and FINN, Bernie, 0.569460. Candidate EIDEH, Khalil has
| reached the threshold and is elected.
====================================================================================================
3| 19548.732248| 557.101086| 70460.993718| 70434.884030| 55044.895210| 893.065752| 759.442245
| 15223.916901| 192.355217| 12819.734715| 308.216272| 139.061334| 95.515955| 118.009768
| 49398.959931| 452.699278| 606.590909| 205.439815| 208.735572| 70434.229766| 53382.949320
| 679.149790| 293.357508| 329.946636| 0.017024| 36.116023| 70431.330497
|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Count after transferring surplus votes. Keep factors of candidates who have exceeded the
| threshold: PAKULA, Martin, 0.360305; EIDEH, Khalil, 0.563434; and FINN, Bernie, 0.569351.
====================================================================================================
4| 20073.493588| | 70641.941887| 70767.587055| 56040.288563| |
| 15621.962278| | 13269.763240| | | |
| 50829.326051| | | | | 70704.276967| 54311.656968
| | | | 327.703403| 983.657609| 70376.716100
|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Count after eliminating DAVIS, Merinda; REES, Llewelly; SPINNER, Claudine; GARAY, Lisa;
| MAZZARELLA, Stephanie; BYRNE, Georga; NOTARO, Samuel; KAVANAGH, Marguerita; HUMPHREYS, Robert
| Allan; INGHAM, Liz; CRAWFORD, Simon; GALE, Owen; FAIRBAIRN, Victoria; BARTH, Jeremy; and KENNY,
| William and transferring votes. All losing candidates are eliminated.
====================================================================================================
5| | | 70931.799362| 71024.427228| 56467.149533| |
| | | | | | |
| 70116.049917| | | | | 86195.861938| 66180.237107
| | | | 1672.474915| 17694.325983| 70152.587515
|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Count after eliminating MURRAY, Joël; MUMBY, Daniel; and FARRELL, Mark and transferring votes.
| All losing candidates are eliminated.
====================================================================================================
6| | | 70159.696708| 70585.329669| 57683.305722| |
| | | | | | |
| 70146.748531| | | | | 70153.101303| 82154.215123
| | | | 1705.602944| 12464.078095| 70147.066177
|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Count after transferring surplus votes. Keep factors of candidates who have exceeded the
| threshold: PAKULA, Martin, 0.356347; EIDEH, Khalil, 0.556518; and FINN, Bernie, 0.463381.
| Candidate ELSBURY, Andrew has reached the threshold and is elected.
====================================================================================================
7| | | 73970.892843| 73975.953144| 62179.179663| |
| | | | | | |
| 70195.703483| | | | | 70208.534511| 70152.336134
| | | | 1905.400222| 7934.586965| 70113.766630
|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Count after transferring surplus votes. Keep factors of candidates who have exceeded the
| threshold: PAKULA, Martin, 0.356283; EIDEH, Khalil, 0.553063; FINN, Bernie, 0.463342; and
| ELSBURY, Andrew, 0.853847. Candidate HARTLAND, Colleen has reached the threshold and is elected.
Winners are PAKULA, Martin; EIDEH, Khalil; HARTLAND, Colleen; FINN, Bernie; and ELSBURY, Andrew.
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