Sunday, November 28, 2010

Green vote in decline kept alive by Sex in Zone 1

In what has turned out to be an exciting and close finish to the State  Election, the Brumby Labor Government has come within a bees whisker of retaining government in what now look like a possibility of a hung parliament. An excellent result for a Government seeking a historic 4th Term.

Victorians were concerned about the possibility of the Greens holding the balance of power, so much so that the Green vote had dropped by 4-5%.  With just under 70% of the vote counted the Greens look like losing a seat in Western Metropolitan to the Liberal party and only held on to Southern Metropolitan with the help of the Sex-Party whose vote increased from 2% to 3%.(See ABC Analyst Antony Green's Calculator) When compared with the August senate poll.

The Greens vote held up only within the Zone 1 Inner City area but was down in comparison to the Victorian Australian Senate vote in August.



Index to Greens Upperhouse Calculator Results

Legislative Council Results - Western Metropolitan Region

Elected Candidates


Candidate Party
1 PAKULA, Martin Australian Labor Party
2 FINN, Bernie Liberal Party
3 EIDEH, Khalil Australian Labor Party
4 ELSBURY, Andrew Liberal Party
5 SMITH, Bob Australian Labor Party

Detailed Results

  • Percentage vote counted: 66.88%
  • Quota: 50381 votes

Count 1: Initial allocation

Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
144,285 47.73%
2.8638
Liberal Party
0
89,000 29.44%
1.7665
Australian Greens
0
35,793 11.84%
0.7104
Australian Sex Party
0
13,570 4.49%
0.2693
Family First Party
0
10,184 3.37%
0.2021
Democratic Labor Party
0
9,452 3.13%
0.1876

Count 2: PAKULA, Martin (Australian Labor Party) elected #1

  • 93,904 (31.06%) votes (144,285 ballot papers at 0.6508 transfer value) originally from Australian Labor Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (EIDEH, Khalil) via preference 2.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
-50,381
93,904 31.06%
1.8638
Liberal Party
0
89,000 29.44%
1.7665
Australian Greens
0
35,793 11.84%
0.7104
Australian Sex Party
0
13,570 4.49%
0.2693
Family First Party
0
10,184 3.37%
0.2021
Democratic Labor Party
0
9,452 3.13%
0.1876

Count 3: FINN, Bernie (Liberal Party) elected #2

  • 38,619 (12.78%) votes (89,000 ballot papers at 0.4339 transfer value) originally from Liberal Party distributed to Liberal Party (ELSBURY, Andrew) via preference 2.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
93,904 31.06%
1.8638
Liberal Party
-50,381
38,619 12.78%
0.7665
Australian Greens
0
35,793 11.84%
0.7104
Australian Sex Party
0
13,570 4.49%
0.2693
Family First Party
0
10,184 3.37%
0.2021
Democratic Labor Party
0
9,452 3.13%
0.1876

Count 4: EIDEH, Khalil (Australian Labor Party) elected #3

  • 43,523 (14.40%) votes (144,285 ballot papers at 0.3016 transfer value) originally from Australian Labor Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (SMITH, Bob) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
-50,381
43,523 14.40%
0.8638
Liberal Party
0
38,619 12.78%
0.7665
Australian Greens
0
35,793 11.84%
0.7104
Australian Sex Party
0
13,570 4.49%
0.2693
Family First Party
0
10,184 3.37%
0.2021
Democratic Labor Party
0
9,452 3.13%
0.1876

Count 5: FARRELL, Mark (Democratic Labor Party) excluded

  • 9,452 (3.13%) votes originally from Democratic Labor Party distributed to Family First Party (MUMBY, Daniel) via preference 6.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
43,523 14.40%
0.8638
Liberal Party
0
38,619 12.78%
0.7665
Australian Greens
0
35,793 11.84%
0.7104
Family First Party
+9,452
19,636 6.50%
0.3897
Australian Sex Party
0
13,570 4.49%
0.2693

Count 6: MURRAY, Joel (Australian Sex Party) excluded

  • 13,570 (4.49%) votes originally from Australian Sex Party distributed to Australian Greens (HARTLAND, Colleen) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
+13,570
49,363 16.33%
0.9797
Australian Labor Party
0
43,523 14.40%
0.8638
Liberal Party
0
38,619 12.78%
0.7665
Family First Party
0
19,636 6.50%
0.3897

Count 7: MUMBY, Daniel (Family First Party) excluded

  • 10,184 (3.37%) votes originally from Family First Party distributed to Liberal Party (ELSBURY, Andrew) via preference 9.
  • 9,452 (3.13%) votes originally from Democratic Labor Party distributed to Liberal Party (ELSBURY, Andrew) via preference 9.
  • ELSBURY, Andrew (Liberal Party) provisionally elected.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Liberal Party
+19,636
58,255 19.27%
1.1562
Australian Greens
0
49,363 16.33%
0.9797
Australian Labor Party
0
43,523 14.40%
0.8638

Count 8: ELSBURY, Andrew (Liberal Party) elected #4

  • 6,449 (2.13%) votes (89,000 ballot papers at 0.0725 transfer value) originally from Liberal Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (SMITH, Bob) via preference 17.
  • 738 (0.24%) votes (10,184 ballot papers at 0.0725 transfer value) originally from Family First Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (SMITH, Bob) via preference 15.
  • 685 (0.23%) votes (9,452 ballot papers at 0.0725 transfer value) originally from Democratic Labor Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (SMITH, Bob) via preference 10.
  • SMITH, Bob (Australian Labor Party) provisionally elected.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
+7,872
51,395 17.00%
1.0201
Australian Greens
0
49,363 16.33%
0.9797

Count 9: SMITH, Bob (Australian Labor Party) elected #5

  • The last vacancy has been filled.




Legislative Council Results - Southern Metropolitan Region

Elected Candidates


Candidate Party
1 DAVIS, David Liberal Party
2 LENDERS, John Australian Labor Party
3 COOTE, Andrea Liberal Party
4 CROZIER, Georgie Liberal Party
5 PENNICUIK, Sue Greens

Detailed Results

  • Percentage vote counted: 61.36%
  • Quota: 42213 votes

Count 1: Initial allocation

Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Liberal Party
0
130,869 51.67%
3.1002
Australian Labor Party
0
65,702 25.94%
1.5564
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Sex Party
0
7,710 3.04%
0.1826
Democratic Labor Party
0
4,434 1.75%
0.1050
Family First Party
0
2,262 0.89%
0.0535
Christian Democratic Party
0
1,052 0.42%
0.0249
Group E
0
794 0.31%
0.0188

Count 2: DAVIS, David (Liberal Party) elected #1

  • 88,656 (35.00%) votes (130,869 ballot papers at 0.6774 transfer value) originally from Liberal Party distributed to Liberal Party (COOTE, Andrea) via preference 2.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Liberal Party
-42,213
88,656 35.00%
2.1002
Australian Labor Party
0
65,702 25.94%
1.5564
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Sex Party
0
7,710 3.04%
0.1826
Democratic Labor Party
0
4,434 1.75%
0.1050
Family First Party
0
2,262 0.89%
0.0535
Christian Democratic Party
0
1,052 0.42%
0.0249
Group E
0
794 0.31%
0.0188

Count 3: LENDERS, John (Australian Labor Party) elected #2

  • 23,489 (9.27%) votes (65,702 ballot papers at 0.3575 transfer value) originally from Australian Labor Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (HUPPERT, Jennifer) via preference 2.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Liberal Party
0
88,656 35.00%
2.1002
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Labor Party
-42,213
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Australian Sex Party
0
7,710 3.04%
0.1826
Democratic Labor Party
0
4,434 1.75%
0.1050
Family First Party
0
2,262 0.89%
0.0535
Christian Democratic Party
0
1,052 0.42%
0.0249
Group E
0
794 0.31%
0.0188

Count 4: COOTE, Andrea (Liberal Party) elected #3

  • 46,443 (18.34%) votes (130,869 ballot papers at 0.3549 transfer value) originally from Liberal Party distributed to Liberal Party (CROZIER, Georgie) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Liberal Party
-42,213
46,443 18.34%
1.1002
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Labor Party
0
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Australian Sex Party
0
7,710 3.04%
0.1826
Democratic Labor Party
0
4,434 1.75%
0.1050
Family First Party
0
2,262 0.89%
0.0535
Christian Democratic Party
0
1,052 0.42%
0.0249
Group E
0
794 0.31%
0.0188

Count 5: CROZIER, Georgie (Liberal Party) elected #4

  • 4,230 (1.67%) votes (130,869 ballot papers at 0.0323 transfer value) originally from Liberal Party distributed to Liberal Party (HUME, Jane) via preference 4.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Labor Party
0
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Australian Sex Party
0
7,710 3.04%
0.1826
Democratic Labor Party
0
4,434 1.75%
0.1050
Liberal Party
-42,213
4,230 1.67%
0.1002
Family First Party
0
2,262 0.89%
0.0535
Christian Democratic Party
0
1,052 0.42%
0.0249
Group E
0
794 0.31%
0.0188

Count 6: HUGHES, Vern (Group E) excluded

  • 794 (0.31%) votes originally from Group E distributed to Australian Sex Party (HILL, Ken) via preference 4.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Labor Party
0
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Australian Sex Party
+794
8,504 3.36%
0.2014
Democratic Labor Party
0
4,434 1.75%
0.1050
Liberal Party
0
4,230 1.67%
0.1002
Family First Party
0
2,262 0.89%
0.0535
Christian Democratic Party
0
1,052 0.42%
0.0249

Count 7: ROGERSON, Mansel (Christian Democratic Party) excluded

  • 1,052 (0.42%) votes originally from Christian Democratic Party distributed to Democratic Labor Party (MURPHY, Michael) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Labor Party
0
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Australian Sex Party
0
8,504 3.36%
0.2014
Democratic Labor Party
+1,052
5,486 2.17%
0.1299
Liberal Party
0
4,230 1.67%
0.1002
Family First Party
0
2,262 0.89%
0.0535

Count 8: TRUTER, Ashley (Family First Party) excluded

  • 2,262 (0.89%) votes originally from Family First Party distributed to Democratic Labor Party (MURPHY, Michael) via preference 7.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Labor Party
0
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Australian Sex Party
0
8,504 3.36%
0.2014
Democratic Labor Party
+2,262
7,748 3.06%
0.1835
Liberal Party
0
4,230 1.67%
0.1002

Count 9: HUME, Jane (Liberal Party) excluded

  • 4,230 (1.67%) votes (130,869 ballot papers at 0.0323 transfer value) originally from Liberal Party distributed to Democratic Labor Party (MURPHY, Michael) via preference 8.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
40,450 15.97%
0.9582
Australian Labor Party
0
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Democratic Labor Party
+4,230
11,978 4.73%
0.2837
Australian Sex Party
0
8,504 3.36%
0.2014

Count 10: HILL, Ken (Australian Sex Party) excluded

  • 7,710 (3.04%) votes originally from Australian Sex Party distributed to Australian Greens (PENNICUIK, Sue) via preference 5.
  • PENNICUIK, Sue (Australian Greens) provisionally elected.
  • Distribution complete, all vacancies filled.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
+7,710
48,160 19.02%
1.1408
Australian Labor Party
0
23,489 9.27%
0.5564
Democratic Labor Party
0
11,978 4.73%
0.2837

Count 11: PENNICUIK, Sue (Australian Greens) elected #5

  • The last vacancy has been filled.

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